Happy new year! It is 2013 and the Mayan apocalypse did not happen after all. We have also avoided the “fiscal cliff”, at least for a couple of months. However the IT world is going through a form of “end times”. It is now clear what we are coming to the end of the traditional long-duration Waterfall project. During 2012, Gartner announced the “The End of the Waterfall as We Know It” and placed Waterfall at the “dusk of obsolesce” in the IT market clock, indicating that it is time to move to iterative and agile development methodologies.
It is not clear what the post-Waterfall era of IT will look like. Agile development is now common and successfully used by many organizations. On the other hand, in increase in agile adoption as a top down initiative will result in some spectacular failures as organizations continue to attempt large complex and long term agile projects with little knowledge and experience in the methodology. The result is more accurately described as “WaterSCRUMFall” than agile, and success is far from guaranteed.
Iterative development techniques have been lost in the battle between Waterfall and Agile. Over 2013, we should start to see if they will undergo a resurgence in the post Waterfall era, or continue to fade away.
My resolution for 2013 is to continue to provide the best impartial advice I can through this blog and my formal research.
Welcome to the post-Waterfall era!