Richard Gordon

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Welcome Back!

by Richard Gordon  |  May 14, 2013  |  Submit a Comment

Hello and welcome to my re-launched Gartner blog (please provide your own champagne and party poppers). This revamp promises more relevant and timely posts, updated bi-weekly (with the occasional guest post), focused on the issues of today and tomorrow that will affect global IT powerhouses, your business and us all as individuals. With the latest [...]

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Let’s Hear It for Abenomics

by Richard Gordon  |  May 14, 2013  |  Submit a Comment

It’s not every day a political leader has a strand of economics named after him. Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s mix of strong fiscal policy and aggressive monetary moves (which include quantitative easing) has been dubbed “Abenomics”.  This strategy for returning Japan to former glories is long overdue. And recent figures show that it seems [...]

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China’s Consumers Take Flight, But Watch for a Hard Landing

by Richard Gordon  |  May 14, 2013  |  Submit a Comment

In China, state policy is also having a big impact on how things are shaping up. The government has several initiatives to push growth back up to 8%, and one of them is to encourage urbanization. Thousands of rural inhabitants are now taking to the cities, where a labour shortage promises good wages and even [...]

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And Then There’s Korea…

by Richard Gordon  |  May 14, 2013  |  Submit a Comment

An additional word about Korea, another Asian region that’s been attracting attention lately, for very different reasons. At the moment the threat of conflict in the region (or the rather more euphemistic “cross exchange”) seems to have subsided. But I couldn’t help thinking when the North was grandstanding that the effect on the region’s industry [...]

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Game on! IT big chance in Brazil’s World Cup and Olympic sporting smorgasbord

by Richard Gordon  |  May 14, 2013  |  Submit a Comment

As the sporting calendar changes to northern summer events with the Champions League and NBA replaced by baseball, cricket and lacrosse, I’m thinking ahead to the next big global sporting events in Brazil. Not only will the World Cup and Olympics provide massive exposure for technology (finally, goal line cameras!) but behind the scenes it [...]

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The Impact of The Nexus of Forces on Gartner’s Worldwide IT Spending Forecast

by Richard Gordon  |  March 28, 2013  |  Comments Off

Uncertainties surrounding the prospects for an upturn in global economic growth remain the major retardants of IT growth. Although the U.S. did avoid the fiscal cliff, the subsequent sequestration, compounded by the rise of Cyprus’ debt burden, seems to have netted out any benefit, and the fragile business and consumer sentiment in evidence throughout much [...]

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Happy New Year … But No Boost in IT Spending on the Horizon

by Richard Gordon  |  January 25, 2013  |  Comments Off

It seems we’ve been talking about the impact of a sluggish economy on IT spending since forever, but the fact remains that uncertainties surrounding the prospects for an upturn in global economic growth remain the major retardants of IT spending growth. This uncertainty has engendered the pessimistic business and consumer sentiment in evidence throughout much [...]

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How Do We Come Up With Our IT Market Forecasts?

by Richard Gordon  |  October 19, 2012  |  Comments Off

Next week at Gartner Symposium/ITxpo in Orlando, we will be announcing our latest outlook for worldwide IT spending. A common question I get is, “How do you come up with those forecasts?” Well, it’s not pure guesswork! The first step in forecasting any market is to accurately estimate the current market size and Gartner has [...]

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Cloud is the Silver Lining for IT Spending

by Richard Gordon  |  June 29, 2012  |  Comments Off

We’ve just updated the global IT Spending forecast and this quarter there’s little change to the growth outlook.   We’ve tweaked the forecast for overall IT spending growth in 2012 up slightly from 2.5% last quarter to 3.0% now, reflecting a fairly steady, albeit gloomy, macroeconomic environment: the Eurozone crisis remains unresolved, the economic recovery in the [...]

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Another Quarter, Another Forecast Update, Yet More Currency Effects

by Richard Gordon  |  April 5, 2012  |  Comments Off

The headlines will say “Gartner Cuts IT Spending Forecast for 2012″ but yet again this quarter our forecast update is a tale of two growth rates: the current dollar one and the constant dollar one. In our 1Q12 update, worldwide IT spending is forecast to total $3.7 trillion in 2012, a 2.5 percent increase from [...]

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