Pete Basiliere

A member of the Gartner Blog Network

Pete Basiliere
Research Director
8 years at Gartner
14 years IT Industry

Pete Basiliere is Research Director in the Technology and Service Provider organization, providing insights on digital printing systems and software applications, customer communications management, strategic document outsourcing (SDO), automated document factory (ADF 2.0) and 3D printing, including best practices, market strategies and technology trends. Read Full Bio

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Will Hasbro and 3D Systems Jump-start the Consumer 3D Printing Market?

by Pete Basiliere  |  February 14, 2014  |  10 Comments

I co-authored one of Gartner’s recent predictions, that “A compelling consumer application will surface by 2016, driving additional 3D printer market growth.” The idea of simply experiencing the technology and conceiving ways to use it will mainly drive makers and hobbyists to buy 3D printers, not the average consumer. Something much more is needed to drive consumer 3D printer purchases. We expect that whatever this application is, it will be one that enables a completely personalized, quality item that consumers cannot purchase in stores unless they visit a true craftsman to have the item made by hand.

To date the consumer 3D printing market has been held back in part because there is no compelling use — something that the consumer can only acquire by producing it on a 3D printer at home. This is not to say that no consumer-focused applications exist for 3D printing, far from it. Today, consumers are using 3D printers to make truly personalized and unique toys and gifts, jewelry and avatars, school projects and hobby items.

We expected a compelling consumer application — something that can only be created at home on a 3D printer — would hit the scene by 2016. Our thinking was that this application, which would be the most compelling use case yet for consumer 3D printing, would arise from work done by makers and other enthusiasts who push the envelope of consumer 3D printing uses and be enabled by manufacturers who develop “plug-and-print” devices.

Our Forecast: 3D Printer Shipments, Worldwide, 2013 considered this prediction, among several other market drivers and inhibitors, when we projected that consumer market printer shipments would rise 123.3% from 2015 to 2016 and by 149.3% from 2016 to 2017:

Figure 1. 3D Printer Shipments Worldwide (printers with less than US$100,000 list price) 

Source: Gartner (October 2013)

Well, consumer goods companies are not going to wait for makers and enthusiasts to drive the market.

3D Systems and Hasbro announced today that they have agreed to “co-venture and mainstream 3D printing play experiences for children.” The companies plan to introduce “innovative play printers and platforms later this year” that will result in “innovative play and co-creation experiences at home and online.”

Hasbro is not the first toy maker in the market, arguably MakieLab is. The difference now is that while MakieLab is a small company among the toy titans, Hasbro is one of those titans. As such, Hasbro has consumer channels that enable it to command retail shelf space and the marketing prowess to drive consumer awareness of its 3D print offerings.

I believe that, absent a compelling consumer application, the best use for a 3D printer at home is to complement a child’s education. Sure, 3D printed gifts and other items can be made. But 3D printers can be used in conjunction with a wide range of school projects (replacing Plaster-of-Paris maps and masks), arts programs (as a new medium that combined analog and digital) and engineering design courses at the secondary and post-secondary grade levels.

In the meantime, the presence of Hasbro will drive other consumer goods companies to ramp up their 3D print offerings, driving increased printer shipments worldwide. Maybe I need to rethink the prediction as coming about not in 2016 but in 2015.

10 Comments »

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10 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Why Consumers still aren’t sold on 3D Printing | PTC   March 13, 2014 at 7:24 pm

    [...] recent Gartner report predicts that we might see a compelling consumer application within the next two years, but for now [...]

  • 2 Gennady Simanovsky   April 3, 2014 at 9:27 am

    Dear Pete, is it any detailed research about Consumer Segment?
    What consumers want to print, what they ready to pay, etc.?

  • 3 Pete Basiliere   April 7, 2014 at 12:31 am

    Hello, Gandy, and thanks for your comment. At the moment we have forecasted consumer shipments (that is, of devices costing under US$2,500 which could also be used by businesses as 3D System’s and MakerBot’s have been) will grow at 97.0% CAGR through 2017. Importanttly, broad consumer acceptance of 3D printing won’t happen until 2017 because of the complex ecosystem of software, hardware and materials involved.

  • 4 Dan   April 8, 2014 at 6:51 pm

    What about items customized or co-created at home on the computer or iPad, and 3D printed elsewhere? The big 3D printer makers are setting up their own large-scale fulfilment services all over the world.

  • 5 Pete Basiliere   April 8, 2014 at 7:29 pm

    Yes, they are. In fact, 3D print service bureaus have been part of the industry almost from the beginning. If the providers could not sell the additive manufacturing / 3D printing devices then they would sell the output of those devices.

  • 6 Mainstream 3D Printer Ownership To Build Slowly | TechCrunch   April 22, 2014 at 10:24 am

    [...] applications for 3D printers are on the rise, such as the consumer experiences being developed by Hasbro and Hersheys in partnership with 3D printer makers — for print it yourself toys and [...]

  • 7 adcompteltd   June 10, 2014 at 6:53 am

    Hello, I have read your article really very nice and useful. Thanks for your information.

  • 8 Meet Tinkerine Studios (TTD.V) and (TKSTF) OTC Pink « 3DPrintingStocks.com   July 8, 2014 at 12:02 pm

    [...] research director Pete Basiliere projects consumer market printer shipments will “rise 123.3% from 2015 to 2016 and by 149.3% from 2016 to [...]

  • 9 Duann   July 21, 2014 at 1:17 pm

    It is happening for real.

    https://www.shapeways.com/blog/archives/16759-hasbro-shapeways-enable-3d-printing-fan-art-with-superfanart.html

  • 10 Pete Basiliere   July 22, 2014 at 2:35 am

    Thanks for sharing, Duann. Let’s see where this takes the industry,

    Pete

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