Mastering The Hype Cycle

How to Choose the Right Innovation at the Right Time

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Classic hype cycle signal term: “DOA”

April 15th, 2011 by Mark Raskino · No Comments

I love CNET’s “Buzz Out Loud” podcast and its very impressive presenters. Yesterday I was listening to the April 13 episode 1447 and a rapid fire interchange of views between a couple of long time anchors.

Molly Wood: “I feel like in a lot of ways you’ve just gotta let it go – like 3D is just kinda DOA”
Brian Cooley: “And the retailers know its just dead on the floor”

(27:15 to 27:22)

THAT term – DOA… just jumped out at me. It should be a classic marker signal for all hype cycle followers. You just know that the peak has passed when you start hearing that term.

A technology has barely arrived on the market and already, sentiment is turning negative.

I can take no position on 3DTV – its not my coverage as an analyst. But when I hear that word, it gives me a pretty strong indication about where I would place it on the hype cycle.

Listen out for DOA in your tech news reading and listening.

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