Mastering The Hype Cycle

How to Choose the Right Innovation at the Right Time

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Entries from November 2008

More ‘next big things’ ?…

November 26th, 2008 by Mark Raskino · 1 Comment

Ladies and Gentlemen, sharpen your pencils and start drawing your hype cycles for…

National Infrastructure
Food chain carbon footprinting

Mobile social networking
Solar-thermal energy
Informal learning
Carbon Nanotube paper-thin Speakers
Rural BPOs

If you follow the links you will find the words ‘next big thing’ -  a tell-tale hype cycle cue – used in each case. It seems the recession has not [...]

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Tags: Uncategorized

Building IT’s reputation through innovation

November 26th, 2008 by Jackie Fenn · 1 Comment

A CIO at the recent Sydney Symposium described to me how he had set up a number of activities to drive innovation within his organization, from early stage “sandpits” for experimentation, through “hothouses” for nurturing promising ideas, to later stage “engine rooms” for rolling out new ideas in a disciplined way.
In addition to the expected [...]

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Tags: Innovation Best Practices · Innovation Management and the Hype Cycle

“Are you sure this has never been done before?”

November 18th, 2008 by Mark Raskino · Comments Off

We explain in the book how and why organizations must explore and exploit the hype cycle differently according to their level of technology risk-aggressiveness. Failing to understand the prevailing culture of a company and act within it is a frequent cause of hype cycle induced strategy error. So perhaps you believe you work in a [...]

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Tags: Innovation Management and the Hype Cycle

An Obama Hype Cycle?

November 14th, 2008 by Mark Raskino · 1 Comment

Recently we have noticed several blogs raise the question of whether there could be an Obama hype cycle. For example Miki Szikszai says ‘I hope his advisers are telling him about the Gartner hype cycle’ and Neville Hobson asks ‘Hmm, I wonder what the Gartner hype cycle would look like if people’s high expectations of [...]

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Tags: Not quite hype cycles

An indicator that Green is passing the peak.

November 11th, 2008 by Mark Raskino · 1 Comment

This interesting article describes how magazine publishers and marketers are finding the public disinterested in superficial green stories. They must be getting bored with the bombardment. Now the difficult works starts – how do we really green our lives, societies and habits? Not so easy. Complex technological and business ecosystem evolution is required! The [...]

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Tags: Uncategorized

Marketing with the Hype Cycle

November 7th, 2008 by Jackie Fenn · 1 Comment

We’ve targeted the book’s advice primarily at adopters of innovation, but an understanding of the hype cycle can also offer insight for the “supply” side of the equation too. 
In recent review of the book, Britton Manasco rightly advises marketers to watch for the Trough as “True thought leaders will see this coming and prepare their prospects and customers [...]

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Tags: Hype Cycle Insight and Advice

Really long hype cycles

November 4th, 2008 by Jackie Fenn · 2 Comments

In the 1920s, Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev described cycles of repeating boom and bust in the global economy, each lasting 50-60 years. Other economists have developed the Kontratiev wave theory in more detail, including Carlotta Perez in her book “Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages”. Perez ties the economic [...]

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Tags: Business Hype Cycles · Hype Cycle Twists & Turns · Technology Hype Cycles